Climate change increases resource-constrained international immobility

نویسندگان

چکیده

Migration is a widely used adaptation strategy to climate change impacts. Yet resource constraints caused by such impacts may limit the ability migrate, thereby leading immobility. Here we provide quantitative, global analysis of reduced international mobility due deprivation change. We incorporate both migration dynamics and within-region income distributions in an integrated assessment model. show that induces decreases emigration lowest-income levels over 10% 2100 for medium development scenarios compared with no up 35% more pessimistic including catastrophic damages. This effect would leave resource-constrained populations extremely vulnerable subsequent increased poverty. Climate increase or decrease human migration. Applying model data, authors groups have 10–35%.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Nature Climate Change

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1758-6798', '1758-678X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01401-w